It’s a chart day! Data geeks, rejoice, for numbers have arrived. I promise to make this discussion accessible and even a bit fun. But first, let me set the stage. It’s been a bit over six months since the midterm elections of 2022, which the GOP by all accounts bungled badly by nominating so many Trump-endorsed, extremist candidates. By the end, the Democrats had
I sent a copy of this article to my nephew (fen Z), my niece and her fiancé (Millennials). Our future is indeed in their hands.
I also included an apology on behalf of the boomers (me). We started out strong with a vision to change the world Peace and Love. Somewhere along the line, it was co-opted.
In addition to the democratic turnout that you mention, evangelical turnout for the GOP declined during the midterms. Some evangelicals felt that with the Dobbs decision they had gotten what they wanted. Others felt that the GOP was not continuing to push hard enough to make abortion illegal nationwide. Of course, that put the GOP in a bind because the right to an abortion is the single biggest reason for high democratic turn out, and continuing to be very vocally anti-abortion does not turn out well for Republican candidates.
In order to get evangelicals back to the polls, the GOP is trying to hype other culture wars issues to take the place of abortion. Front and center is LGBTQ and transgender rights.
Jay, can you next tackle multiple voter suppression laws in red states targeting college students and racial strongholds? How can we effectively blunt their impact? Thanks!!
Victory is nigh.....as long as we can contain those addled "chaos monkeys," and prevent them from rendering the spoils only so much toxic sludge'd earth.
This is good news, but I'm projecting a bit, hopefully optimistically. The key to 2024, which Jay already implies are the women Millennials and Gen Z voters who live in the six or seven swing states. We know which ones they are. If they are one-issue voters (we know what that is, I'm fine with it) or even more enlightened on every pressing issue (from immigration to the war in Ukraine), that's even better. We need them to come out in droves. We need the equivalent of David Axelrod and David Plouffe (remember them? they got Barack to the gate and to the finish line) to put their shoulders to the wheel when it's crunch time. I'm a little less nervous. I predict that DeSantis will not run, and that the fat man will be doing rallies under a few more indictments.
Thanks Jay, as always, for your awesome breakdown!
I’m curious to see if/how the upcoming rulings on abortion medication as well as other new frontiers (ending no-fault divorce, red state legislatures taking over their blue cities) affect the upcoming elections at the more micro level. We’ve had some great results this week that hopefully continue to trend out way in places we thought were done for. Also: (dis)honorable mention of the deep corruption of the Supreme Court that just keeps being unveiled more and more—that is definitely getting attention as well.
[zombie voice] MMMMMM, DATA! Seriously, this is great - thank you for the numbers and the breakdown. I am still trying to figure out what the GOP and the SCOTUS were thinking with the Dobbs decision. Did they REALLY think that was going to turn out well for them? I mean - considering that, after Roe v. Wade was decided in 1973, it's been one onslaught after another against women's reproductive health, especially during Republican administrations. SURELY they knew this. SURELY. And once Roe v. Wade was overturned, the already angry women got even angrier and decided they'd REALLY had enough.
Also, have you noticed how SCOTUS had upheld the Illinois assault weapons ban? I thought for sure they were going to sink it. But no! They let it stand. Now I think - this is the combined result from the public outcry following the Dobbs decision AND all the scandals, especially for Justice Thomas. The SCOTUS knows their credibility at the moment is far from fabulous and that the public will start demanding of the President to stack the court and swing the balance back to some kind of sanity.
I have no faith in any of these polls. And given they are saying the number for people over 65 is less than 50% is BS. I know most of my fellow seniors, especially Democrats would crawl to the polls, and many vote my mail where they can. I don't need these numbers to tell me the younger generation of voters are getting more involved 1. yes, there is the abortion issue, but 2. they have spent much of their lives wondering if going to school would mean their funeral next week, 3, and when politicians and the rest of us would stop putting band-aids on the gun issue and stop lying about the 2nd Amendment. 4.They are listening less and even avoiding religions (great news). 5. They see the corruption and are young enough and smart enough to know this is not good for them or the country. 6. Climate change is a big issue and they have experienced it all their lives, again waiting for politicians, corporations and the rest of us to get serious about doing something and doing it now, not 2030, or 2050, but now. I am heading into my 8th decade, and I support them 100% and will get out there with them and fight for change NOW.
This is great news but one thing be must be said repeatedly, never be complacent!
Believing your vote will not matter, is a recipe for disaster. Consider every vote as the difference between winning or losing!
So very proud of the Gen Z and Millennial generations...
Why wait until 2032? I bet we can make the Republican party collapse earlier if we really put in the effort!
I sent a copy of this article to my nephew (fen Z), my niece and her fiancé (Millennials). Our future is indeed in their hands.
I also included an apology on behalf of the boomers (me). We started out strong with a vision to change the world Peace and Love. Somewhere along the line, it was co-opted.
Thank you once again for your excellent analysis.
In addition to the democratic turnout that you mention, evangelical turnout for the GOP declined during the midterms. Some evangelicals felt that with the Dobbs decision they had gotten what they wanted. Others felt that the GOP was not continuing to push hard enough to make abortion illegal nationwide. Of course, that put the GOP in a bind because the right to an abortion is the single biggest reason for high democratic turn out, and continuing to be very vocally anti-abortion does not turn out well for Republican candidates.
In order to get evangelicals back to the polls, the GOP is trying to hype other culture wars issues to take the place of abortion. Front and center is LGBTQ and transgender rights.
Jay, can you next tackle multiple voter suppression laws in red states targeting college students and racial strongholds? How can we effectively blunt their impact? Thanks!!
Victory is nigh.....as long as we can contain those addled "chaos monkeys," and prevent them from rendering the spoils only so much toxic sludge'd earth.
This is good news, but I'm projecting a bit, hopefully optimistically. The key to 2024, which Jay already implies are the women Millennials and Gen Z voters who live in the six or seven swing states. We know which ones they are. If they are one-issue voters (we know what that is, I'm fine with it) or even more enlightened on every pressing issue (from immigration to the war in Ukraine), that's even better. We need them to come out in droves. We need the equivalent of David Axelrod and David Plouffe (remember them? they got Barack to the gate and to the finish line) to put their shoulders to the wheel when it's crunch time. I'm a little less nervous. I predict that DeSantis will not run, and that the fat man will be doing rallies under a few more indictments.
This is indeed great news! But we need more in 2024 up and down the ballot to end Trumpism.
Thanks Jay, as always, for your awesome breakdown!
I’m curious to see if/how the upcoming rulings on abortion medication as well as other new frontiers (ending no-fault divorce, red state legislatures taking over their blue cities) affect the upcoming elections at the more micro level. We’ve had some great results this week that hopefully continue to trend out way in places we thought were done for. Also: (dis)honorable mention of the deep corruption of the Supreme Court that just keeps being unveiled more and more—that is definitely getting attention as well.
So what I don't understand is why a chart that is meant to show the progress Dems are making even has a "far right column". :)
Hope is always important and Jay you give me hope!
Oh Jay you just made my day. Thank you!!
[zombie voice] MMMMMM, DATA! Seriously, this is great - thank you for the numbers and the breakdown. I am still trying to figure out what the GOP and the SCOTUS were thinking with the Dobbs decision. Did they REALLY think that was going to turn out well for them? I mean - considering that, after Roe v. Wade was decided in 1973, it's been one onslaught after another against women's reproductive health, especially during Republican administrations. SURELY they knew this. SURELY. And once Roe v. Wade was overturned, the already angry women got even angrier and decided they'd REALLY had enough.
Also, have you noticed how SCOTUS had upheld the Illinois assault weapons ban? I thought for sure they were going to sink it. But no! They let it stand. Now I think - this is the combined result from the public outcry following the Dobbs decision AND all the scandals, especially for Justice Thomas. The SCOTUS knows their credibility at the moment is far from fabulous and that the public will start demanding of the President to stack the court and swing the balance back to some kind of sanity.
Yummy. I love data, especially in the form of charts & graphs. #GraphGeek #Facts Yay!
🌞🌞🌞 😃👊🖖
Outstanding! Thank you Jay!
I have no faith in any of these polls. And given they are saying the number for people over 65 is less than 50% is BS. I know most of my fellow seniors, especially Democrats would crawl to the polls, and many vote my mail where they can. I don't need these numbers to tell me the younger generation of voters are getting more involved 1. yes, there is the abortion issue, but 2. they have spent much of their lives wondering if going to school would mean their funeral next week, 3, and when politicians and the rest of us would stop putting band-aids on the gun issue and stop lying about the 2nd Amendment. 4.They are listening less and even avoiding religions (great news). 5. They see the corruption and are young enough and smart enough to know this is not good for them or the country. 6. Climate change is a big issue and they have experienced it all their lives, again waiting for politicians, corporations and the rest of us to get serious about doing something and doing it now, not 2030, or 2050, but now. I am heading into my 8th decade, and I support them 100% and will get out there with them and fight for change NOW.