Things are looking good for Biden. Even GOP congresspeople might be seeing that sticking with Trump is a way to lose.
However, we need to be ready for anti Biden street protests during the convention. I think they are coming and must be handled calmly as they will be intended to divide Democrats and give the election to Trump.
"Suburban women in particular came out strongly against Trump in 2020 after going for him in 2016. If Trump can’t win those voters back, he will have a steep uphill climb..."
How will he do that? The ladies aren't calling it Roevember for nothing 😍
I am still only cautiously optimistic. And Jay - I would appreciate your comments about if Trump picks a strong 🤷♀️VP candidate such as Younkin, and the consequences it might have on the race. I have been reading a bit about Trump being aware that the military vote is slipping away from him and Trump needs to pick a strong VP candidate with a military background to shore him up. Why the military sticks with him is absolutely beyond me. It is also horrifically frightening as a Gold Star family ☹️ Thanks for the great analysis on the Pennsylvania primary.
I'm liking Joe's chances in PA this morning. According to the NYT, with 99% of the vote counted, Nikki Haley, who dropped out over a month ago, has pulled close to 157K republican votes from Trump. If even half of those voters go for Biden in the general, that would come close to Biden's margin of victory from 2020.
Trump's petulant 'we don't need Haley voters' stance is costing him. Bigly. Republicans across the board are underwater with women voters already, Biden has a popular Democratic governor in Josh Shapiro to campaign with and act as a surrogate, along with two popular Democratic senators. AND, Trump's sleazy hush money trial in NYC is reminding people what a lowlife he's been his whole life. Not to mention the incredible burn rate Trump's legal bills are imposing on his campaign and all his various superPACS. The money is going out as fast as it comes in - kind of like Paulie's crew in Goodfellas moving merch through the restaurant they took over before they burned it out.
Someone not even in the race got 16.5 %? Ha! I think, and I hope, Trump's personal Titanic has already hit the iceberg and is taking on cold, cold water.
Keep in mind that PA has a critical senate race between Casey and McCormick, who lost out to Oz in the last election in the seat that was taken by Fetterman.
Trump’s narcissism, arrogance, ignorance, and blind stupidity will be his undoing. He can’t imagine anyone would think of him as less than god since he thinks so highly of himself.
Other than the numbers which show a 10% higher vote for Biden from Democrats than those from Republicans for the indicted man in court, Biden received 135,000 more votes than that guy. That’s more reassuring to me.
I live in PA (Pittsburgh) and worked the polls. Yes, we have a closed primary. I had two folks who wanted to vote GOP and could not, since they were registered Democrat. (I found this interesting: who does not know what Party they belong to? I assume they don’t normally vote in the Primaries. When this (or any issue) occurs, they are permitted to vote provisionally, and are offered a form to change their party (for next time) if they wish.
PS, a few folks said they were writing in “Anyone but” and one said he was writing in PENCE 🙄.
While it is still a long way from November, I am more encouraged not by the margins of the votes FOR Biden, but by the margins voting 'other' than Trump. There are people over there who are getting out of the brain fog that the leaders of that movement have induced in the rest of their brethren. It's not spreading quickly "enough" to suit many on our side of the middle, but, for me, anything at all that reflects a willingness to come back towards the tenets of democracy is just peachy keen. We're talking millions of people here, so the increments will be tiny. Like the drops of water through the cracks in a dam, it does not seem like much, but the dam will break. I just want the leadership of OUR SIDE to be ready to accept the influx and be able to process the sheer volume of new voices within our ranks. We cannot afford to make mistakes or tolerate corruption. Not after all of this. Plan accordingly. NOW.
Also a big win for Rep. Summer Lee, who was up against a "moderate" ringer trying to tar her with the - wait for it - "anti-Israel = anti-Semitic" brush, and Pittsburgh voters were having none of it. "Bust up the Squad" is "centrist" Dem flavor of the month, but failing badly to date...yay!
“Looking at that number—155,829 registered GOP voters casting what amounts to a protest vote—the Trump Campaign has got to be concerned”
My worry is that although these voters may have cast a protest vote NOW, when it comes to the election conservatives have a way of falling right back in the line. ☹️
As a Delaware County resident, I got my tail to the polls yesterday to vote for Biden. Despite what the "Women for Haley" rep said, I am not frustrated that Biden is one of the choices, neither are any other Democratic women who I have spoken with.
Things are looking good for Biden. Even GOP congresspeople might be seeing that sticking with Trump is a way to lose.
However, we need to be ready for anti Biden street protests during the convention. I think they are coming and must be handled calmly as they will be intended to divide Democrats and give the election to Trump.
I love that Nikki, who dropped out, is still taking votes away from her former boss!!
"Suburban women in particular came out strongly against Trump in 2020 after going for him in 2016. If Trump can’t win those voters back, he will have a steep uphill climb..."
How will he do that? The ladies aren't calling it Roevember for nothing 😍
I am still only cautiously optimistic. And Jay - I would appreciate your comments about if Trump picks a strong 🤷♀️VP candidate such as Younkin, and the consequences it might have on the race. I have been reading a bit about Trump being aware that the military vote is slipping away from him and Trump needs to pick a strong VP candidate with a military background to shore him up. Why the military sticks with him is absolutely beyond me. It is also horrifically frightening as a Gold Star family ☹️ Thanks for the great analysis on the Pennsylvania primary.
It’s almost as if being as big a jerk as possible to everyone, everywhere, all the time has some sort of downside. So unfair!
I'm liking Joe's chances in PA this morning. According to the NYT, with 99% of the vote counted, Nikki Haley, who dropped out over a month ago, has pulled close to 157K republican votes from Trump. If even half of those voters go for Biden in the general, that would come close to Biden's margin of victory from 2020.
Trump's petulant 'we don't need Haley voters' stance is costing him. Bigly. Republicans across the board are underwater with women voters already, Biden has a popular Democratic governor in Josh Shapiro to campaign with and act as a surrogate, along with two popular Democratic senators. AND, Trump's sleazy hush money trial in NYC is reminding people what a lowlife he's been his whole life. Not to mention the incredible burn rate Trump's legal bills are imposing on his campaign and all his various superPACS. The money is going out as fast as it comes in - kind of like Paulie's crew in Goodfellas moving merch through the restaurant they took over before they burned it out.
Happy Wednesday, Jay and Co!
Someone not even in the race got 16.5 %? Ha! I think, and I hope, Trump's personal Titanic has already hit the iceberg and is taking on cold, cold water.
I am so grateful for your daily insights.
Keep in mind that PA has a critical senate race between Casey and McCormick, who lost out to Oz in the last election in the seat that was taken by Fetterman.
Trump’s narcissism, arrogance, ignorance, and blind stupidity will be his undoing. He can’t imagine anyone would think of him as less than god since he thinks so highly of himself.
Other than the numbers which show a 10% higher vote for Biden from Democrats than those from Republicans for the indicted man in court, Biden received 135,000 more votes than that guy. That’s more reassuring to me.
I live in PA (Pittsburgh) and worked the polls. Yes, we have a closed primary. I had two folks who wanted to vote GOP and could not, since they were registered Democrat. (I found this interesting: who does not know what Party they belong to? I assume they don’t normally vote in the Primaries. When this (or any issue) occurs, they are permitted to vote provisionally, and are offered a form to change their party (for next time) if they wish.
PS, a few folks said they were writing in “Anyone but” and one said he was writing in PENCE 🙄.
While it is still a long way from November, I am more encouraged not by the margins of the votes FOR Biden, but by the margins voting 'other' than Trump. There are people over there who are getting out of the brain fog that the leaders of that movement have induced in the rest of their brethren. It's not spreading quickly "enough" to suit many on our side of the middle, but, for me, anything at all that reflects a willingness to come back towards the tenets of democracy is just peachy keen. We're talking millions of people here, so the increments will be tiny. Like the drops of water through the cracks in a dam, it does not seem like much, but the dam will break. I just want the leadership of OUR SIDE to be ready to accept the influx and be able to process the sheer volume of new voices within our ranks. We cannot afford to make mistakes or tolerate corruption. Not after all of this. Plan accordingly. NOW.
Also a big win for Rep. Summer Lee, who was up against a "moderate" ringer trying to tar her with the - wait for it - "anti-Israel = anti-Semitic" brush, and Pittsburgh voters were having none of it. "Bust up the Squad" is "centrist" Dem flavor of the month, but failing badly to date...yay!
“Looking at that number—155,829 registered GOP voters casting what amounts to a protest vote—the Trump Campaign has got to be concerned”
My worry is that although these voters may have cast a protest vote NOW, when it comes to the election conservatives have a way of falling right back in the line. ☹️
As a Delaware County resident, I got my tail to the polls yesterday to vote for Biden. Despite what the "Women for Haley" rep said, I am not frustrated that Biden is one of the choices, neither are any other Democratic women who I have spoken with.