When I woke up and reconfirmed the numbers from last night, I smiled. And I realized at that moment that I probably know things based on some math and deeper dives that others nervous about the publicly-posted results don’t yet know. So let me attempt to give you some of the reasoning and numbers behind my good cheer this morning.
*This* is the well calculated analysis that we need. Thank you for this clarity, Jay! Now....let's hope that those ballots breaking for Kelly also break for Katie Hobbs in AZ!
Geez, I hope you are 100% correct, but I like your analysis which sounds reasoned and well thought out. I always look forward to your email. I also subscribe HCR, Robert Hubbell, Jessica Craven, Joyce Vance, Michael Moore and Dan Rather. I don't watch TV news anymore, I get all my info from these newsletters! They haven't let me down!
These are definitely words of hope-thanks so much for sharing your insight here. Praying you are correct-especially making Manchin irrelevant!! From your mouth to God’s ears. Living in ruby red Fla, words of hope are incredibly welcome!! 💙💙💙
Especially appreciate your demonstrating what’s behind the optimism Jay. You are one of my election information heroes along HCR, TCinLA, Hubbell, Steve Schmidt and many who comment on these Substacks.
This is the kind of analysis that I love and seldom hear. I think reporters consider it too complex for the commoner but I like the mathematical approach. Thanks.
Thank you Jessica —— for this analysis and for your dedication, direction, leadership and enthusiasm during this most stressful time. There have been days when I wondered (with awe) how you do it but I am always so grateful that you do. You’ve been the light for so many of us on our darkest days. You kept us going and helped to save our democracy. Bravo!
Thank you for this breakdown -- before I have one of my own!
This is wonderful--thanks for the genius approach. :)
*This* is the well calculated analysis that we need. Thank you for this clarity, Jay! Now....let's hope that those ballots breaking for Kelly also break for Katie Hobbs in AZ!
Thanks you for this hopeful message!💕
Geez, I hope you are 100% correct, but I like your analysis which sounds reasoned and well thought out. I always look forward to your email. I also subscribe HCR, Robert Hubbell, Jessica Craven, Joyce Vance, Michael Moore and Dan Rather. I don't watch TV news anymore, I get all my info from these newsletters! They haven't let me down!
These are definitely words of hope-thanks so much for sharing your insight here. Praying you are correct-especially making Manchin irrelevant!! From your mouth to God’s ears. Living in ruby red Fla, words of hope are incredibly welcome!! 💙💙💙
Especially appreciate your demonstrating what’s behind the optimism Jay. You are one of my election information heroes along HCR, TCinLA, Hubbell, Steve Schmidt and many who comment on these Substacks.
Thank you for this explanation. Feeling hopeful!
Mahalo for the hope! It's going to help me through the wait.
This is the kind of analysis that I love and seldom hear. I think reporters consider it too complex for the commoner but I like the mathematical approach. Thanks.
I still plan to help cure ballots in Nevada!
Thank you for this detailed version which naturally alleviates my anxiety. I hope your prection is correct.
Thank you! I can breathe a wee bit easier.
Thank you Jessica —— for this analysis and for your dedication, direction, leadership and enthusiasm during this most stressful time. There have been days when I wondered (with awe) how you do it but I am always so grateful that you do. You’ve been the light for so many of us on our darkest days. You kept us going and helped to save our democracy. Bravo!
I love your analysis and have hope we can prevail in the senate. Thanks for doing the math for us!
Do you think an already-determined Senate majority will have an effect on the turnout in the Georgia runoff?